2010/11 All-State Power Rankings

The top 25 All State Wrestlers (DI and D2, separately and combined) have been identified using a power ranking formula to compare performance across weight classes.

The top 25 All State Wrestlers (DI and D2, separately and combined) have been identified using a power ranking formula to compare performance across weight classes. No subjective information was used to rank the wrestlers except for arriving at the power point system which was applied the same for each wrestler.

The formula weights the following factors for each wrestler:

  • Points are awarded for performance at state tournament only.
  • 2010’s state performance is more heavily weighted than performance in previous years.
  • A formula is used to weigh the strength of each weight class. Weight class strength varies from year to year. Weight classes have different weights, but generally, lower weights factor less than higher weight classes.
  • If two wrestlers had identical performance in 2010, identical weight strength, and one achieved all-state in 2009, the wrestler achieving all-state in 2009 would have more power points than the other.

Unified(DI&DII) All State Power Ranking

Rank Wrestler Points Division
1 Craig Scott (Sr, Pal-Mac, V) 48.57 2
2 Nick Gwiazdowski (Sr, Duanesburg, II) 41.59 2
3 Casey Lanave (Sr, Chenango Forks, IV) 40.56 1
4 Quinton Murphy (Jr, Holley, V) 37.63 2
5 Owen Scott (Sr, Pal-Mac, V) 37.58 2
6 Derek Pfluger (Jr, Sandy Creek, III) 37.57 2
7 Derak Heyman (Sr, Tioga, IV) 37.42 2
8 Grant Greene (Sr, St Anthony’s, C) 34.36 1
9 Bob Dierna (Sr, Wayne, V) 33.53 1
10 Jimmy Kloc (Jr, Iroquois, VI) 31.44 1
11 Nick Lalone (Sr, Cato Meridian, III) 30.00 2
12 Zach Diekel (Jr, Whitehall, II) 29.09 2
13 Steven Rodrigues (Sr, Fox Lane, I) 28.25 1
14 Andy Lyman (Sr, Ravena Coymans Selkirk, III) 27.84 2
15 Kyle Wade (Sr, Islip, XI) 25.48 1
16 Brandon Mills (Sr, Canisteo Greenwood, V) 25.37 2
17 Louis Puca (Sr, Huntington, XI) 24.22 1
18 Brian Realbuto (Jr, Somers, I) 24.08 1
19 Brian Walsh (Sr, Watervliet, II) 23.95 2
20 Joe Kavanagh (Sr, Wantagh, VIII) 23.79 1
21 Patrick Hogan (Sr, Peru, VII) 23.57 2
22 Ryan Todd (Jr, Lansing, IV) 23.54 2
23 Arik Robinson (Sr, Peru, VIII) 22.44 2
24 Lance Compton (Sr, Attica, V) 22.11 2
25 Colton Perry (Sr, Windsor, IV) 21.98 2
25 Sean McCormick (Sr, Johnson City, IV) 21.98 1


Division I All State Power Ranking

Rank Wrestler Points
1 Casey Lanave (Sr, Chenango Forx, IV) 40.56
2 Bob Dierna (Sr, Wayne, V) 33.53
3 Grant Greene (Sr, St Anthony’s C) 34.36
4 Jimmy Kloc (Jr, Iroquois, VI) 31.44
5 Steven Rodrigues (Sr, Fox Lane, V) 28.25
6 Kyle Wade (Sr, Islip, XI) 25.48
7 Louis Puca (Sr, Huntington, XI) 24.22
8 Brian Realbuto (Jr Somers, I) 24.08
9 Joe Kavanagh (Sr, Wantagh, VIII) 23.79
10 Sean McCormick (Sr, Johnson City, IV) 21.98
11 Dave Ng (Sr, Plainedge, VIII) 21.56
12 Malik Rasheed (Jr, Longwood, XI) 19.73
13 Tony Lock (Jr, Pioneer, VI) 19.39
14 Tim Schaefer (So, Lancaster, VI) 18.98
15 Joe Bonaldi (Sr, Olympia, V) 18.84
16 Lewis Cucchiara (Sr, Gates-Chili, V) 18.04
17 Dylan Palacio (Jr, Long Beach, VIII) 17.26
18 Mitchell Wightman (Sr, Warwick Valley, IX) 16.88
19 Joe Barbato (Sr, Wantagh, VIII) 16.06
20 Alex Gomz (Sr, Brentwood, XI) 13.84
21 Nigel McNeil (Sr, Huntington, XI) 13.65
22 Tory Cain (Sr, Wayne, V) 13.33
23 Vin Fischetti (Sr, Monsignor Farrell, C) 12.54
24 Al Dierna (Jr, Wayne, V) 12.51
25 Asher Kramer (Sr, Suffern, I) 9.83


Division II All State Power Ranking

Rank Wrestler Points
1 Craig Scott (Sr, Pal-Mac, V) 48.57
2 Nick Gwiazdowski (Sr, Duanesburg, II) 41.59
3 Quinton Murphy (Jr, Holley, V) 37.63
4 Owen Scott (Sr, Pal-Mac, V) 37.58
5 Derek Pfluger (Jr, Sandy Creek, III) 37.57
6 Derak Heyman (Sr, Tioga, IV) 37.42
7 Nick Lalone (Sr, Cato Meridian, III) 30.00
8 Zach Diekel (Jr, Whitehall, II) 29.09
9 Andy Lyman (Sr, Ravena, III) 27.84
10 Brandon Mills (Sr, Canisteo, Sr) 25.37
11 Brian Walsh (Sr, Watervliet, II) 23.95
12 Patrick Hogan (Sr, Peru, VII) 23.57
13 Ryan Todd (Jr, Lansing, IV) 23.54
14 Arik Robinson (Sr, Peru, VIII) 22.44
15 Lance Compton (Sr, Attica, V) 22.11
16 Colton Perry (Sr, WIndsor, IV) 21.98
17 Kacee Sauer (Jr, Holley, V) 21.60
18 Chris Nevinger (Jr, Letchworth, V) 20.74
19 Dan Gormley (Sr, Bainbridge, IV) 20.46
20 Zach Zupan (So, Canastota, III) 18.84
21 Ben Mowry (Sr, Pal-Mac, V) 18.40
22 Austyn Hayes (Jr, Phoenix, III) 17.81
23 Ryan Osleeb (Sr, North Salem, I) 16.68
24 Tyler Button (Jr, Phoenix, III) 16.29
25 Corey Dake (Jr, Lansing, IV) 15.24


Answer the poll to rank the top 8 all state wrestles. Select 8 wrestlers before submitting your vote.

[poll id=”33″]

This is one of any number of possible ways to weight the performance of wrestlers to arrive at an objective ranking. What do we have wrong? Who would you add, remove, or change the order of to make this ranking reflect reality better? Please comment and let us know.

 

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13 thoughts on “2010/11 All-State Power Rankings”

  1. This seems a very objective way to begin the ranking system. How ever Arik Robinson from Peru is not ranked correctly by this system. I realize he is in a light weight class, but still a three time State champion. I will say overall not bad.

  2. The performance at the NYS tourney is not a good enough barometer. Murphy and Gwiazdowski are the runaway favorites here.

  3. I like what you are trying to do but by weighing the higher weights more than lighter weights, you are now using too much subjective info which is what you are trying to eliminate. With your ranking system, kids like Steven Keith and nick Arujau would not have been ranked nearly as highly as they should have been.

    1. Eric, It’s a fair concern, but without giving the entire details of the formula away, the weighting is not subjective. It is possible for a lower weight to have more weight than a higher weight, but in general it does not pan out that way.

      Nick Arujau was ranked sixth in the unified ranking for 2010 and fifth in the DI ranking. Here’s the link: Final 2010 Power Ranking. You may arguably rank Arujau number one, but the top 5 in that unified ranking are all legitimate candidates for the number 1 spot. So I believe while the power ranking is not perfect, it does a great job of identifying the top wrestlers in the state without subjectivity.

      One could easily make a strong argument for any one of Tyler Beckwith, Angelo Malvestuto, Cody Ruggirello, Stephen Dutton, and Andy Rodriguez for the number 1 spot, who all fall ahead of Arujau. These things will always be debated, but that they are all identified in the top six, whether you agree with the actual order or not, says to me that it’s identifying the right people for the top distinction, and it’s probably closer to reality than someone picking based purely on opinion, even expert.

      Remember when Cody Rugirello met Nick Arujau in the state finals at 103 in 2007, Cody pinned Nick. Also there’s a long list of 96lb champions who never got the opportunity to participate in the state tournament once they moved up in weight class.

      If you look at who wins multiple state titles, they are wrestlers who have their start in the lightweights. I happen to believe that’s not by accident. If we are to agree on 2 significant factors in wrestling success, then we would agree that the formula normalizes the accomplishments. One, exprience counts for something (Troy Nickerson was a better wrestler as a senior than when he won his first state title as an 8th grader), and 2 age is very significant in the life of a high school wrestler as there is a physical difference between a man, an adolescent, and a prepubescent.

      Weights 96, 103, and 112 are dominated in the state tournament by junior high, freshman and sophomore wrestlers while after 152 the weights are dominated by Juniors and Seniors and 189 is most often dominated by seniors. So is winning a state title in the 8th grade at 96 in 2010 in a weight having 2 seniors and with the remainder all sophomores or less as difficult as winning a title at 130 where all but one wrestler is either a junior or a senior, or 189 where 75% of the wrestlers are seniors (the most of any weight class, remember experience and physical maturation count for something).

      So the weighting formula scores the experience of the wrestlers competing in the weight class. It is applied to each weight class the same, so it’s not subjective. Does it have merrit? It DOES NOT if you believe that a state title is the same at 96 where 75% of the wrestlers were prepubesent freshmen, 7th and 8th graders versus 189 where 75% of the wrestlers were seniors having muscle tone like a full grown man, a hairy chest, and 4 years or more varsity experience to go with it.

      It’s not perfect, but it’s the best way I know to get predjudice, favoritism, and false reputation out of the ranking, which is the basis for most rankings and most disagreements.

      It’s also interesting to note that you see the same correlation in NCAA D1. Weight classes where freshman and sophomores win are are most often less dominated by juniors, seniors, and red shirt seniors. Such correlations are not by accident.

  4. I don’t understand how Chris Nevinger is not on any of these rankings. He was NYS Champion last year and undefeated, he is a 2x National Champion(Freshman and Sophmore), and he is ranked 2nd in the Nation for Jrs. at 152lbs by WrestlingUSA. Can anyone answer my question?

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