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NCAA DI Individual Wrestler Power Ranking for 2009-2010

Submitted by Bill Miller on Wed, 10/14/09 – 9:30 pm2 Comments

Military StripesThe top 25 NCAA Division I wrestlers eligible to compete in the 2009-2010 season have been ranked across weight classes. A power ranking formula was created to compare performance. No subjective information was used to rank the wrestlers except for arriving at the power point system which was applied the same for each wrestler.

The formula weighs the following factors for each wrestler:

  • Points are awarded for performance placing in the top 8 of the NCAA Championships.
  • 2009′s championship performance is more heavily weighted than performance in previous years.
  • A formula is used to weigh the strength of each weight class. Weight class strength varies from year to year.

Note, assumptions were made to identify strength of weight classes in years 2008, 2007, 2006, and 2005 as the wrestler’s year of eligibility is not identified in brackets for those years. If anyone has a source for that information, please send me an email.

Rank Wrestler School Weight Eligibility Power Points
1 Jake Varner Iowa St 197 Sr 30.91
2 Mike Pucillo Ohio St 184 RSSR 24.75
3 Frank Gomez Mich St 133 RSSR 24.18
4 Jordan Burroughs Nebraska 157 Sr 21.63
5 Brent Metcalf Iowa 149 RSSR 21.53
6 Craig Brester Nebraska 197 RSSR 20.97
7 Jayson Ness Minn 133 RSSR 20.37
8 Hudson Taylor Maryland 197 RSSR 19.41
9 Troy Nickerson Cornell 125 RSSR 18.85
10 Jared Rosholt Okla St 285 RSSR 18.15
11 Darrion Caldwell N. Carolina St 149 Jr 17.97
12 Mark Ellis Missouri 285 Sr 17.12
13 Angel Escobedo Indiana 125 RSSR 15.47
14 Nick Gallick Iowa St 141 Sr 15.03
15 Konrad Dudziak Duke 285 RSJR 14.55
16 Andrew Howe Wisconsin 165 So 14.48
17 Reece Humphrey Ohio St 133 RSSR 14.48
18 Mike Miller Central Mich 174 RSJR 13.17
19 Lance Palmer Ohio St 149 Sr 12.92
20 James Kennedy Illinois 133 Sr 12.09
21 Phillip Keddy Iowa 184 RSSR 11.98
22 Ryan Morningstar Iowa 165 RSSR 11.92
23 Jonathan Reader Iowa St 165 Jr 11.24
24 Kyle Ruschell Wisconsin 149 RSSR 10.39
25 Daniel Erekson Iowa 285 Sr 10.27


Answer the poll to rank the top 5 NCAA DI for 2009-2010. Select 5 wrestlers before submitting your vote.

Rank the top 5 NCAA DI Wrestlers in 2010?

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This is one of any number of possible ways to weight the performance of wrestlers to arrive at an objective ranking. What do we have wrong? Who would you add, remove, or change the order of to make this ranking reflect reality better? Please comment and let us know.


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2 Comments »

  • bob winters says:

    It is difficult to see how Rosholt is ahead of both Ellis and Dudziak who were an overtime close in last year’s NCAA finals. Dudziak beat Rosholt (again overtime) and should be ranked ahead.
    Same for Caldwell over Metcalf with 2 wins to one over him. Of course, it is difficult to have a formula that makes everyone happy. Appreciate your efforts

  • Bill Miller says:

    Thanks for the feedback.

    There are 2 areas of the formula that are problematic, and I don’t know how to deal with it. The first one is if a wrestler redshirts in the year before the current year, they take a big hit for that because they get zero points for 2008. Points in 2008 are weighed more heavily than points in 2007. On the other hand, should a wrestler who performed that year not have an advantage in the formula? I don’t know.

    The other problem is i didn’t have information in years 2008, ’07, ’06, and ’05 for each of the weight classes, so I made an assumption that may not hold true for those years. The one input i’m missing for those years is the year of eligibilty for each of the wrestlers in each bracket. If I could get that, I would rework the ranking with the new information.

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